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ML Vitebsk vs Polotsk

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Trachinskiy I.
29' Event
Teplov I.
Own Goal
33' Event
Koshel S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group B game between ML Vitebsk and Polotsk finished 11-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ML Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
ML Vitebsk
30%
Draws
18%
Polotsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • ML Vitebsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans ML Vitebsk's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors ML Vitebsk here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 16%
Polotsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ML Vitebsk Polotsk
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 21 6
Draws 10 1
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 2.34 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.44 4.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2022 Belarusian Cup
Polotsk vs ML Vitebsk
0:9
Aug 8, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
ML Vitebsk vs Polotsk
11:1
May 2, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Polotsk vs ML Vitebsk
8:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ML Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Koshel S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tumilovich P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Polotsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolesnik A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ML Vitebsk 84 / 100
Polotsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ML Vitebsk Polotsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ML Vitebsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polotsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 10.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: ML Vitebsk remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

ML Vitebsk's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ML Vitebsk VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ML Vitebsk

(Home)
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3
ML Vitebsk
23 Aug
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
BATE
19 Aug
ML Vitebsk
2 : 0
FK Baranovici
Page 1 of 9

Polotsk

(Away)
27 May
Polotsk
0 : 2
Uni X Labs
21 May
Polotsk
0 : 5
FK Baranovici
29 May
Polotsk
0 : 14
Niva Dolbizno
29 May
Polotsk
0 : 9
ML Vitebsk
24 Oct
Polotsk
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dnepr Mogilev 20 19 0 1 105:9 57
2 Petrikov 20 16 1 3 80:16 49
3 Osipovichi 20 12 1 7 44:35 37
4 Gorki 20 10 5 5 35:21 35
5 Viktoria Maryina Gorka 20 9 4 7 43:37 31
6 ML Vitebsk 20 9 3 8 46:45 30
7 SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 20 8 2 10 45:53 26
8 BumProm Gomel 20 7 3 10 29:51 24
9 Polotsk 20 4 1 15 27:78 13
10 Energetik-BGATU 20 2 3 15 28:59 9
11 Zhlobin 20 2 1 17 14:92 7
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
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Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)