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Stadium Background

ML Vitebsk vs SMIavtotrans Smolevichi

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Nguyen A.
32' Event
Linsky S.
34' Event
Minko A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group B game between ML Vitebsk and SMIavtotrans Smolevichi finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SMIavtotrans Smolevichi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
ML Vitebsk
39%
Draws
31%
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • ML Vitebsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 20%
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ML Vitebsk SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
Matches Played 43 29
Wins 26 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi vs ML Vitebsk
2:6
Jul 11, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
ML Vitebsk vs SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ML Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Compare

Top Goalscorer Linsky S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Minko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ML Vitebsk 31 / 100
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ML Vitebsk SMIavtotrans Smolevichi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MLV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ML Vitebsk scored in 81% of their last 43 games.

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Solid form: ML Vitebsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ML Vitebsk VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dnepr Mogilev201901105:957
2Petrikov20161380:1649
3Osipovichi20121744:3537
4Gorki20105535:2135
5Viktoria Maryina Gorka2094743:3731
6ML Vitebsk2093846:4530
7SMIavtotrans Smolevichi20821045:5326
8BumProm Gomel20731029:5124
9Polotsk20411527:7813
10Energetik-BGATU20231528:599
11Zhlobin20211714:927