Sport Picks
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Vardar
North Macedonia
First League 2015/2016 
Match Events
6'
6'
Dzhaleski N.
13'
13'
Conan M.
14'
14'
Ceran D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Vardar in this First League 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vardar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vardar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Vardar have won more games recently than Mladost Carev Dvor.
- Vardar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Vardar here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Mladost Carev Dvor Clean Sheet 12%
Vardar Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mladost Carev Dvor | Vardar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 2 | 19 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 25 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.53 | 2.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.4 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 13, 2016 1. MFL
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Vardar
0:3
Oct 28, 2015 1. MFL
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Vardar
0:1
Aug 23, 2015 1. MFL
Vardar vs Mladost Carev Dvor
6:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mladost Carev Dvor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Vardar Compare
Top Goalscorer Nikolov B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hambardzumyan H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mladost Carev Dvor 10 / 100
Vardar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mladost Carev Dvor Vardar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vardar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.
Mladost Carev Dvor found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (28 games).
Vardar let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Vardar
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mladost Carev Dvor
(Home) 12 Oct
Mladost Carev Dvor
: Met. Skopje
21 Sept
Met. Skopje
: Mladost Carev Dvor
15 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 4 Renova
08 May
Met. Skopje
4 : 0 Mladost Carev Dvor
04 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 2 Turnovo
Page 1 of 6
12 Oct
Mladost Carev Dvor
: Met. Skopje
15 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 4 Renova
04 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 2 Turnovo
24 Apr
Mladost Carev Dvor
2 : 0 Met. Skopje
17 Apr
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 1 Shkupi
Page 1 of 4
Vardar
(Away) 19 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0 Shkendija Haracine
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3 Vardar
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0 Arsimi
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5 Vardar
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1 Vardar
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3 Vardar
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5 Vardar
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1 Vardar
16 Aug
Struga
1 : 0 Vardar
28 Jul
Riga FC
5 : 2 Vardar
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vardar | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 59:15 | 65 |
| 2 | Shkendija Tetovo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 62:21 | 63 |
| 3 | Sileks | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 32:32 | 40 |
| 4 | Shkupi | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 28:25 | 38 |
| 5 | Rabotnicki | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 32:26 | 36 |
| 6 | Bregalnica Stip | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 38:43 | 33 |
| 7 | Turnovo | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 32:42 | 33 |
| 8 | Renova | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 33:37 | 31 |
| 9 | Met. Skopje | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 20:48 | 16 |
| 10 | Mladost Carev Dvor | 27 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 18:65 | 16 |
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Championship Group)
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Championship Group)
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Championship Group)
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Championship Group)
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Championship Group)
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Championship Group)
Relegation - First League 2015/2016 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First League 2015/2016 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First League 2015/2016 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First League 2015/2016 (Relegation Group)
