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Mladost DG vs Otrant - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga DG Arena, Podgorica
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Djinovic O.
34'
Decbitric E.
45' Event
Caique Chagas

AI Match Summary

The Prva Crnogorska Liga game between Mladost DG and Otrant finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mladost DG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mladost DG
20%
Draws
51%
Otrant
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Otrant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Otrant carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Otrant's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Mladost DG Clean Sheet 12%
Otrant Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mladost DG Otrant
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Otrant vs Mladost DG
2:2
Aug 2, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mladost DG vs Otrant
2:1
Jun 4, 2024 Druga Liga
Mladost DG vs Otrant
2:2
May 31, 2024 Druga Liga
Otrant vs Mladost DG
1:0
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Mladost DG vs Otrant
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mladost DG Compare

Top Goalscorer Cepic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Otrant Compare

Top Goalscorer Caique Chagas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mladost DG 14 / 100
Otrant 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mladost DG Otrant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Otrant Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mladost DG's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Otrant let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mladost DG remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mladost DG VS Otrant
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mladost DG

(Home)
08 Oct
Otrant
2 : 2
Mladost DG
02 Oct
Mladost DG
1 : 5
Mornar Bar
28 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 1
Mladost DG
20 Sept
Bokelj
3 : 0
Mladost DG
14 Sept
Mladost DG
0 : 2
Buducnost
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Otrant

(Away)
08 Oct
Otrant
2 : 2
Mladost DG
26 Sept
Dinamo City
4 : 1
Otrant
20 Sept
Otrant
4 : 1
Jezero
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
10 Sept
Bokelj
2 : 1
Otrant
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
2 Decic 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
3 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
4 Buducnost 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
5 Sutjeska 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
6 Mornar Bar 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
7 Mladost DG 10 3 2 5 10:17 11
8 Jezero 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)