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Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd

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AI Match Summary

Mladost Lucani play IMT Novi Beograd in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mladost Lucani averaged 1 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. IMT Novi Beograd averaged 1 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Mladost Lucani won 1, IMT Novi Beograd won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Mladost Lucani and 0.75 for IMT Novi Beograd. This points to a Mladost Lucani double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Mladost Lucani
35%
Draws
31%
IMT Novi Beograd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mladost Lucani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Mladost Lucani picked up more points recently compared to IMT Novi Beograd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Mladost Lucani Clean Sheet 27%
IMT Novi Beograd Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mladost Lucani IMT Novi Beograd
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani
1:3
Jul 20, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani
3:0
Dec 4, 2024 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mladost Lucani 36 / 100
IMT Novi Beograd 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mladost Lucani IMT Novi Beograd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mladost Lucani or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mladost Lucani attacking → ← attacking IMT Novi Beograd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mladost Lucani scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

IMT Novi Beograd let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Mladost Lucani went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

IMT Novi Beograd lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 35
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38