Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mladost Lucani vs Napredak

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Mladosti u Lučanima, Lučani
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Udovicic Z.
46'
Sub
Djurkovic J. In: Djokic D.
Out: Djurkovic J.
46'
Sub
Ignjatovic U. In: Laban L.
Out: Ignjatovic U.

AI Match Summary

Mladost Lucani in this Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mladost Lucani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mladost Lucani
15%
Draws
21%
Napredak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mladost Lucani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mladost Lucani lately — more wins on the board than Napredak.
  • Mladost Lucani are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mladost Lucani here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Mladost Lucani Clean Sheet 68%
Napredak Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mladost Lucani Napredak
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.14 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Mladost Lucani vs Napredak
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Mladost Lucani vs Napredak
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Napredak vs Mladost Lucani
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Mladost Lucani vs Napredak
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Napredak vs Mladost Lucani
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mladost Lucani Compare

Top Goalscorer Udovicic Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Napredak Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mladost Lucani 77 / 100
Napredak 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mladost Lucani Napredak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mladost Lucani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napredak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Mladost Lucani scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Mladost Lucani has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mladost Lucani VS Napredak
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mladost Lucani

(Home)
20 Sept
Macva Sabac
1 : 2
Mladost Lucani
12 Sept
Radnicki 1923
5 : 0
Mladost Lucani
05 Sept
Mladost Lucani
1 : 0
Radnicki Nis
30 Aug
IMT Novi Beograd
2 : 0
Mladost Lucani
23 Aug
Mladost Lucani
3 : 1
Partizan
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Napredak

(Away)
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Napredak
1 : 2
Vrsac
11 Sept
Spartak Subotica
1 : 0
Napredak
05 Sept
Napredak
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Ub
30 Aug
Javor
3 : 0
Napredak
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 IMT Novi Beograd 37 13 11 13 41:51 50
10 Radnicki Nis 37 14 7 16 46:49 49
11 Mladost Lucani 37 11 13 13 33:52 46
12 Radnicki 1923 37 9 18 10 41:42 45
13 TSC Backa Topola 37 11 12 14 45:45 45
14 Javor 37 10 12 15 41:54 42
15 Spartak Subotica 37 4 9 24 37:72 21
16 Napredak 37 3 9 25 30:76 18
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Main)