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Mladost Petrinja vs Bistra

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
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AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Mladost Petrinja and Bistra finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mladost Petrinja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mladost Petrinja
15%
Draws
85%
Bistra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bistra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bistra come out ahead of Mladost Petrinja on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bistra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Mladost Petrinja Clean Sheet 10%
Bistra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mladost Petrinja Bistra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Mladost Petrinja
3:1
Nov 27, 2021 3. HNL Center
Mladost Petrinja vs Bistra
5:3
Apr 7, 2021 3. HNL Center
Mladost Petrinja vs Bistra
2:1
Sep 23, 2020 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Mladost Petrinja
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mladost Petrinja 10 / 100
Bistra 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mladost Petrinja Bistra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bistra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bistra conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Mladost Petrinja scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Bistra registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mladost Petrinja VS Bistra
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mladost Petrinja

(Home)
01 Aug
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 2
Granicar Djurdjevac
28 Aug
Banjole
2 : 0
Mladost Petrinja
31 Aug
Tehnicar Cvetkovec
4 : 0
Mladost Petrinja
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 7
Vrapce
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Bistra

(Away)
19 Oct
Bistra
1 : 6
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Lucko
4 : 2
Bistra
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)