Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL North

Virovitica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mladost Zdralovi play Virovitica in the 3. HNL North. Mladost Zdralovi are favorites here. Recently, Mladost Zdralovi averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Virovitica averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Mladost Zdralovi won 4, Virovitica won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 31, 2022 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Mladost Zdralovi and 1.00 for Virovitica. This points to a Mladost Zdralovi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%

Mladost Zdralovi

20%

Draws

17%

Virovitica

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mladost Zdralovi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Mladost Zdralovi picked up more points recently compared to Virovitica.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Mladost Zdralovi Clean Sheet 23%

Virovitica Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mladost Zdralovi	Virovitica
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	19	6
Draws	8	4
Losses	5	20
Goals Scored	1.84	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.13	2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2022 Croatian Cup

Virovitica vs Mladost Zdralovi

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 0 - 2

0:6

Mar 5, 2022 3. HNL North

Mladost Zdralovi vs Virovitica

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Sep 18, 2021 3. HNL North

Virovitica vs Mladost Zdralovi

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

0:4

May 8, 2021 3. HNL North

Mladost Zdralovi vs Virovitica

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

4:2

Oct 31, 2020 3. HNL North

Virovitica vs Mladost Zdralovi

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mladost Zdralovi 61 / 100

Virovitica 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mladost Zdralovi Virovitica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mladost Zdralovi Win (1)

Secondary Pick Mladost Zdralovi & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.82

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mladost Zdralovi attacking → ← attacking Virovitica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mladost Zdralovi scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Virovitica let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Mladost Zdralovi went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Virovitica lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 22

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	NK Polet	22	17	0	5	61:17	51
2	Mladost Zdralovi	22	15	5	2	45:15	50
3	Bjelovar	22	14	3	5	53:26	45
4	Radnik Krizevci	22	14	2	6	57:25	44
5	Medjimurje	22	12	3	7	40:33	39
6	Podravina Ludbreg	22	8	7	7	35:41	31
7	Papuk Orahovica	22	7	4	11	32:43	25
8	Varteks Varazdin (2011)	22	6	4	12	20:39	22
9	NK Koprivnica	22	3	8	11	24:43	17
10	Virovitica	22	5	2	15	25:52	17
11	Podravac Virje	22	4	4	14	23:50	16
12	Rudar Mursko Sredisce	22	4	4	14	25:56	16