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MO Bejaia vs IRB Nezla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2
Fri, Oct 2, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MO Bejaia host IRB Nezla in the Ligue 2. This one's hard to separate. IRB Nezla have shipped 2.17 goals a game lately, while MO Bejaia have conceded 0.59 and scored 1.3. Past meetings favor MO Bejaia slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.09 vs 0.36, favoring MO Bejaia. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
MO Bejaia
30%
Draws
19%
IRB Nezla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MO Bejaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • MO Bejaia have won more games recently than IRB Nezla.
  • Win probability leans MO Bejaia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
MO Bejaia Clean Sheet 68%
IRB Nezla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MO Bejaia IRB Nezla
Matches Played 27 6
Wins 14 1
Draws 9 1
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.3 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.59 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.09 0.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Ligue 2
MO Bejaia vs IRB Nezla
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MO Bejaia 68 / 100
IRB Nezla 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MO Bejaia IRB Nezla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MO Bejaia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IRB Nezla let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Solid form: MO Bejaia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

MO Bejaia scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

IRB Nezla's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

MO Bejaia VS IRB Nezla
1.38 Goals Scored 0.6
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.8
50% Over 1.5 40%
13% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

MO Bejaia

(Home)
26 Sept
Beni Thour
1 : 3
MO Bejaia
18 Sept
MO Bejaia
0 : 0
MO Constantine
09 May
MO Bejaia
0 : 0
Beni Oulbane
02 May
Annaba
0 : 1
MO Bejaia
21 Apr
MO Bejaia
1 : 0
Khroub
Page 1 of 6

IRB Nezla

(Away)
09 Oct
IRB Nezla
2 : 2
MO Constantine
26 Sept
IRB Nezla
1 : 0
JS Djijel
18 Sept
Skikda
2 : 0
IRB Nezla
04 Jan
IRB Nezla
0 : 1
Kolea
16 Dec
IRB Nezla
1 : 4
Constantine
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annaba 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
2 MSP Batna 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Beni Oulbane 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Magra 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
5 Skikda 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
6 MO Constantine 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Khroub 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Azazga 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
9 MO Bejaia 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
10 Paradou 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 IRB Nezla 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
12 Telaghema 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
13 CA Batna 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
14 US Chaouia 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
15 JS Djijel 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
16 Beni Thour 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Kouba 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 USM Blida 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
3 GC Mascara 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
4 Saida 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
5 Harrach 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
6 Sidi Benali 4 2 1 1 7:7 7
7 ASM Oran 4 2 0 2 4:3 6
8 Kolea 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
9 WA Mostaganem 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
10 Mostaganem 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
11 Tlemcen 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
12 Hussein Dey 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
13 El Bayadh 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
14 JSM Tiaret 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
15 Taghit 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
16 Arba 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)