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Moca vs Cibao

Dominican Republic Dominican Republic

LDF 2025/2026
Moca Logo

Moca

2 - 2
FT
Cibao Logo

Cibao

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Parima J.
19' Event
Jimenez G.
44' Event
Modesta W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this LDF 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Moca
35%
Draws
28%
Cibao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Moca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Cibao have won more games recently than Moca.
  • Win probability leans Moca's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular LDF 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Moca Clean Sheet 68%
Cibao Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moca Cibao
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 10 20
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.97 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
2:1
Apr 1, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
2:2
Feb 22, 2026 LDF
Cibao vs Moca
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moca Compare

Top Goalscorer Parima J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.33

Cibao Compare

Top Goalscorer Modesta W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moca 50 / 100
Cibao 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moca Cibao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moca went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Moca found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Cibao conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Moca VS Cibao
0.43 Goals Scored 1.38
0.14 Goals Conceded 0.88
14% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moca

(Home)
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
06 Sept
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0 : 1
Moca
30 Aug
Universidad O&M
0 : 0
Moca
26 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Salcedo
21 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Vega Real
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Cibao

(Away)
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
10 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Cibao
05 Sept
Cibao
2 : 1
Vega Real
29 Aug
Atlantico FC
1 : 4
Cibao
25 Aug
Cibao
0 : 1
Delfines Del Este
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cibao 15 8 6 1 22:11 30
2 Delfines Del Este 15 7 5 3 19:12 26
3 Salcedo 15 6 5 4 20:17 23
4 Atletico Pantoja 15 4 7 4 22:18 19
5 Moca 15 3 5 7 12:19 14
6 Universidad O&M 15 1 4 10 16:34 7
Promotion - LDF 2025/2026 (Play Offs)