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Moca vs Etoile Matoury

North & Central America North & Central America

CFU Club Shield 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Ventura S.

AI Match Summary

Moca in this CFU Club Shield 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Moca
15%
Draws
20%
Etoile Matoury
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Etoile Matoury haven't matched Moca's recent run of results.
  • Moca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular CFU Club Shield 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Moca Clean Sheet 68%
Etoile Matoury Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moca Etoile Matoury
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 9 4
Draws 10 0
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 CFU Club Shield
Moca vs Etoile Matoury
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ventura S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Etoile Matoury Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moca 95 / 100
Etoile Matoury 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moca Etoile Matoury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moca scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Etoile Matoury has conceded goals in 75% of their last 12 outings.

Recent resilience: Moca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Etoile Matoury's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Moca VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moca

(Home)
26 Sept
Vega Real
1 : 0
Moca
23 Sept
Moca
1 : 1
Delfines Del Este
19 Sept
Atlantico FC
2 : 3
Moca
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
06 Sept
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0 : 1
Moca
Page 1 of 6

Etoile Matoury

(Away)
15 Nov
Etoile Matoury
1 : 2
Le Geldar
28 Jul
Etoile Matoury
2 : 4
Paradise
26 Jul
Moca
1 : 0
Etoile Matoury
30 Nov
Etoile Matoury
0 : 2
Thionville
23 Nov
Mana
0 : 3
Etoile Matoury
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academy Eagles 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Academia Quintana 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
3 La Clery 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
4 Real Rincon 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
5 AS Capoise 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
6 Rovers 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
Promotion - CFU Club Shield 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moca 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Paradise 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
3 Britannia 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Guyana Defence Force 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
5 Etoile Matoury 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
6 St. Pauls United 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - CFU Club Shield 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Weymouth Wales 2 2 0 0 11:1 6
2 SV Transvaal 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
3 All Saints United 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Police 2 1 0 1 7:4 3
5 SCSA Eagles 2 0 0 2 2:9 0
6 Wolues 2 0 0 2 0:11 0
Promotion - CFU Club Shield 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Franciscain 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 AC Port Of Spain 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Arnett Gardens 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
4 Dublanc FC 2 1 0 1 2:5 3
5 Scholars International 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
6 Docs United 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
Promotion - CFU Club Shield 2025 (Play Offs)