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Moca vs Mount Pleasant

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 Estadio Complejo Deportivo Moca 85, Moca
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Green D.
Assist: Irving G.
60' Event
Green D.
61'
Sabella V.

AI Match Summary

Mount Pleasant in this CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Moca
6%
Draws
90%
Mount Pleasant
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mount Pleasant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mount Pleasant lately — more wins on the board than Moca.
  • Win probability leans Mount Pleasant's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mount Pleasant arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mount Pleasant, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Moca Clean Sheet 16%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moca Mount Pleasant
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 17
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2025 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Moca vs Mount Pleasant
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Green D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moca 10 / 100
Mount Pleasant 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moca Mount Pleasant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moca scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Mount Pleasant's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Moca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moca VS Mount Pleasant
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moca

(Home)
24 Apr
Universidad O&M
1 : 1
Moca
18 Apr
Moca
1 : 0
Delfines Del Este
11 Apr
Atletico Pantoja
3 : 0
Moca
01 Apr
Moca
2 : 2
Cibao
21 Mar
Salcedo
1 : 0
Moca
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Mount Pleasant

(Away)
25 Jul
Mount Pleasant
:
All Saints United
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3
Mount Pleasant
20 May
Mount Pleasant
2 : 4
Portmore
18 May
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
06 May
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Montego Bay
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant44007:012
2Universidad O&M42026:56
3Robinhood41125:64
4Central FC41124:64
5Moca41032:73
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cibao43017:39
2Defence Force42115:37
3Weymouth Wales42116:57
4Cavalier41124:64
5Juventus40132:71
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Play Offs)