Sport Picks

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Moca vs Ouanaminthe

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2024
Moca Logo

Moca

3 - 1
FT
Ouanaminthe Logo

Ouanaminthe

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Yambatis Joseph J.
27' Event
Philistin F.
65' Event
Ascona G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Moca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Moca
30%
Draws
19%
Ouanaminthe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ouanaminthe have managed 0.9 goals a game lately — Moca are scoring more at 1.03.
  • Win probability leans Moca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Moca, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Moca Clean Sheet 19%
Ouanaminthe Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moca Ouanaminthe
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2024 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Moca vs Ouanaminthe
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moca Compare

Top Goalscorer Yambatis Joseph J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ascona G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Ouanaminthe Compare

Top Goalscorer Philistin F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moca 85 / 100
Ouanaminthe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moca Ouanaminthe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Moca went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Moca scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Ouanaminthe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Moca VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moca

(Home)
19 Sept
Atlantico FC
2 : 3
Moca
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
06 Sept
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0 : 1
Moca
30 Aug
Universidad O&M
0 : 0
Moca
26 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Salcedo
Page 1 of 7

Ouanaminthe

(Away)
04 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
Real Hope
27 Apr
AS Capoise
1 : 0
Ouanaminthe
20 Apr
Ouanaminthe
1 : 1
Fica
06 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 1
Ouanaminthe
30 Mar
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
AS Capoise
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalier 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Real Hope 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Police 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
4 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
5 Arnett Gardens 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cibao 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Moca 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
3 AC Port Of Spain 4 0 2 2 6:8 2
4 Grenades 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
5 Ouanaminthe 4 0 2 2 5:10 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2024 (Play Offs)