Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moca vs Salcedo

Dominican Republic Dominican Republic

LDF 2025/2026
Moca Logo

Moca

0 - 1
FT
Salcedo Logo

Salcedo

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Durán K.
10'
Martinez H.
39' Event
Comas G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The LDF 2025/2026 game between Moca and Salcedo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salcedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Moca
35%
Draws
32%
Salcedo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Salcedo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Salcedo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Moca Clean Sheet 27%
Salcedo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moca Salcedo
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 10 16
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.59 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Salcedo
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 LDF
Salcedo vs Moca
1:0
Feb 15, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Salcedo
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 LDF
Salcedo vs Moca
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 LDF
Salcedo vs Moca
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.29

Salcedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Comas G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moca 30 / 100
Salcedo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moca Salcedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salcedo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Moca stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Moca's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Salcedo has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Moca VS Salcedo
0.43 Goals Scored 1.38
0.14 Goals Conceded 0.75
14% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Moca

(Home)
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
06 Sept
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0 : 1
Moca
30 Aug
Universidad O&M
0 : 0
Moca
26 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Salcedo
21 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Vega Real
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Salcedo

(Away)
10 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Cibao
06 Sept
Atlantico FC
1 : 6
Salcedo
03 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
30 Aug
Salcedo
3 : 1
Vega Real
26 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Salcedo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cibao 15 8 6 1 22:11 30
2 Delfines Del Este 15 7 5 3 19:12 26
3 Salcedo 15 6 5 4 20:17 23
4 Atletico Pantoja 15 4 7 4 22:18 19
5 Moca 15 3 5 7 12:19 14
6 Universidad O&M 15 1 4 10 16:34 7
Promotion - LDF 2025/2026 (Play Offs)