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Modafenspor vs Kardemir Karabuk

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Atasoy C.
57' Event
Girgin H.
85' Event
Cinar M.

AI Match Summary

Modafenspor in this 3. Lig Group 3 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Modafenspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Modafenspor
6%
Draws
4%
Kardemir Karabuk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Modafenspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Modafenspor lately — more wins on the board than Kardemir Karabuk.
  • Win probability leans Modafenspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Modafenspor Clean Sheet 68%
Kardemir Karabuk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modafenspor Kardemir Karabuk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 1
Draws 9 1
Losses 15 28
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2022 3. Lig Group 3
Modafenspor vs Kardemir Karabuk
4:0
Sep 19, 2021 3. Lig Group 3
Kardemir Karabuk vs Modafenspor
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modafenspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Cinar M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Atasoy C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kardemir Karabuk Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modafenspor 95 / 100
Kardemir Karabuk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modafenspor Kardemir Karabuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kardemir Karabuk conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Kardemir Karabuk has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Modafenspor's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Modafenspor VS Kardemir Karabuk
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Modafenspor

(Home)
07 May
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2 : 0
Modafenspor
01 May
Modafenspor
0 : 4
Erokspor
24 Apr
Kirikkale FK
2 : 1
Modafenspor
16 Apr
Modafenspor
1 : 1
Guzide Gebzespor
10 Apr
Fethiyespor
2 : 2
Modafenspor
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Kardemir Karabuk

(Away)
07 May
Kardemir Karabuk
1 : 6
Tepecik
01 May
Ceyhanspor
1 : 3
Kardemir Karabuk
24 Apr
Kardemir Karabuk
0 : 2
Gumushanespor
16 Apr
Orduspor 1967
4 : 0
Kardemir Karabuk
10 Apr
Kardemir Karabuk
0 : 6
Edirnespor Genclik
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erokspor34237484:2676
2Fethiyespor34206864:3466
3Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu341715242:1866
4Orduspor 196734197866:3364
5Ofspor34179865:4360
6Guzide Gebzespor341415551:2857
7Kirikkale FK34169951:2957
8Karsiyaka341116755:3449
9Edirnespor Genclik341391250:3648
10Tepecik3411111249:4244
11Karakopru3410141046:3944
12Agri 1970341261639:4342
13Gumushanespor349141139:3641
14Cankaya FK341181537:4441
15Mardin 1969349101542:4237
16Modafenspor347111637:5032
17Kardemir Karabuk34113211:1264
18Ceyhanspor34043012:1374
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2021/2022 (Play Offs)