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Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Atletico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Tassotti C.
68' Event
Bartkowski S.
80' Event
Bartkowski S.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Modbury Jets and Adelaide Atletico finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Modbury Jets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Modbury Jets
15%
Draws
28%
Adelaide Atletico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modbury Jets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Modbury Jets come out ahead of Adelaide Atletico on wins alone.
  • Model gives Modbury Jets a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Modbury Jets Clean Sheet 19%
Adelaide Atletico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modbury Jets Adelaide Atletico
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.3 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Atletico
4:0
May 2, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Modbury Jets
1:2
Jul 30, 2022 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Atletico
0:1
Apr 30, 2022 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Modbury Jets
2:2
Oct 2, 2021 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Atletico
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modbury Jets Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartkowski S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tassotti C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Adelaide Atletico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modbury Jets 85 / 100
Adelaide Atletico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modbury Jets Adelaide Atletico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modbury Jets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modbury Jets found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Adelaide Atletico conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Modbury Jets remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Modbury Jets VS Adelaide Atletico
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Modbury Jets

(Home)
12 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 1
Modbury Jets
05 Sept
Modbury Jets
6 : 0
Adelaide Olympic
28 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 4
Modbury Jets
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
Page 1 of 6

Adelaide Atletico

(Away)
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1
Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3
Adelaide Atletico
08 Aug
Eastern United
4 : 2
Adelaide Atletico
01 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 0
Salisbury United
25 Jul
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)