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Modbury Jets vs Salisbury United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Tassotti C.
62' Event
Graves N.
79' Event
Phillis C.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Modbury Jets and Salisbury United finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Modbury Jets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Modbury Jets
15%
Draws
28%
Salisbury United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modbury Jets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Modbury Jets come out ahead of Salisbury United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Modbury Jets's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Modbury Jets have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Modbury Jets Clean Sheet 19%
Salisbury United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modbury Jets Salisbury United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 2.3 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Modbury Jets
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Salisbury United
3:0
Jul 20, 2019 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Modbury Jets
0:3
Apr 13, 2019 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Salisbury United
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modbury Jets Compare

Top Goalscorer Tassotti C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Graves N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Salisbury United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modbury Jets 85 / 100
Salisbury United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modbury Jets Salisbury United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modbury Jets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modbury Jets scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Salisbury United let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Modbury Jets remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Modbury Jets VS Salisbury United
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Modbury Jets

(Home)
12 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 1
Modbury Jets
05 Sept
Modbury Jets
6 : 0
Adelaide Olympic
28 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 4
Modbury Jets
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
Page 1 of 6

Salisbury United

(Away)
15 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Salisbury United
06 Aug
Salisbury United
2 : 3
South Adelaide
01 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 0
Salisbury United
24 Jul
Eastern United
0 : 3
Salisbury United
18 Jul
Salisbury United
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)