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Modbury Jets vs Salisbury United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Tassotti C.
62' Event
Graves N.
79' Event
Phillis C.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Modbury Jets and Salisbury United finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Modbury Jets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Modbury Jets
11%
Draws
9%
Salisbury United
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Modbury Jets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Modbury Jets come out ahead of Salisbury United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Modbury Jets's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Modbury Jets have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Modbury Jets Clean Sheet 16%
Salisbury United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modbury Jets Salisbury United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Modbury Jets
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Salisbury United
3:0
Jul 20, 2019 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Modbury Jets
0:3
Apr 13, 2019 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Salisbury United
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modbury Jets Compare

Top Goalscorer Tassotti C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Graves N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Salisbury United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modbury Jets 75 / 100
Salisbury United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modbury Jets Salisbury United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salisbury United let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Modbury Jets found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Modbury Jets remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Modbury Jets VS Salisbury United
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Modbury Jets

(Home)
25 Jul
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Atletico
18 Jul
Salisbury United
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
13 Jul
Blue Eagles
3 : 1
Modbury Jets
07 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0
Modbury Jets
03 Jul
Eastern United
0 : 0
Modbury Jets
Page 1 of 6

Salisbury United

(Away)
24 Jul
Eastern United
0 : 3
Salisbury United
18 Jul
Salisbury United
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
03 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
1 : 0
Salisbury United
27 Jun
Salisbury United
0 : 4
The Cove FC
20 Jun
Fulham United
2 : 2
Salisbury United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders19131550:2340
2Adelaide Olympic19121638:2437
3Modbury Jets19105438:1835
4Fulham United19103638:2833
5Cumberland United19101834:2531
6Blue Eagles1994632:2731
7Adelaide Atletico1993733:2930
8The Cove FC1975726:2726
9Adelaide Cobras19621122:3720
10Eastern United19441118:3916
11Salisbury United19421324:4214
12South Adelaide19331320:5412
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)