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Modena vs Cesena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Modena host Cesena in the Serie B. This one's hard to separate. Cesena have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Modena have conceded 1.04 and scored 1.44. Head-to-head, Modena have won 1 to Cesena's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.19 - 0.81) back Modena to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Modena
35%
Draws
24%
Cesena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Modena lately — more wins on the board than Cesena.
  • Win probability leans Modena's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Modena Clean Sheet 20%
Cesena Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modena Cesena
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.44 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Serie B
Modena vs Cesena
0:0
Nov 28, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Modena
1:0
May 13, 2025 Serie B
Modena vs Cesena
0:1
Sep 13, 2024 Serie B
Cesena vs Modena
2:2
Feb 7, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Modena vs Cesena
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modena 67 / 100
Cesena 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modena Cesena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Modena scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Cesena has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Modena has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Modena VS Cesena
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Modena

(Home)
11 Oct
Modena
3 : 2
Verona
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
Page 1 of 6

Cesena

(Away)
10 Oct
Benevento
2 : 0
Cesena
18 Sept
Juve Stabia
1 : 1
Cesena
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 6 5 1 0 14:7 16
2 Mantova 6 4 2 0 13:6 14
3 Modena 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Sudtirol 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
5 Ascoli 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Avellino 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
7 Pisa 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
8 Benevento 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
9 Verona 6 2 1 3 12:10 7
10 Padova 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
11 Cesena 6 1 4 1 7:8 7
12 Arezzo 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
13 Empoli 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
14 Entella 6 1 3 2 8:7 6
15 Cremonese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Vicenza 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
17 Carrarese 6 1 1 4 4:6 4
18 Sampdoria 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
19 Catanzaro 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
20 Juve Stabia 6 1 3 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)