Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Modena vs Fiorentina

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Modena host Fiorentina in the Club Friendly. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Modena have averaged 1.32 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Fiorentina's 1.53 scored and 1.23 conceded. Head-to-head, Modena have won 2 to Fiorentina's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 0.88, favoring Fiorentina. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Modena
20%
Draws
33%
Fiorentina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiorentina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Modena a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Modena Clean Sheet 20%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modena Fiorentina
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.32 1.53
Goals Conceded 1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Modena vs Fiorentina
0:0
May 24, 1964 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Modena
0:0
Jan 5, 1964 Serie A
Modena vs Fiorentina
0:1
Jan 20, 1963 Serie A
Modena vs Fiorentina
3:0
Sep 16, 1962 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Modena
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modena 76 / 100
Fiorentina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modena Fiorentina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modena found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Fiorentina let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Modena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Modena VS Fiorentina
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Modena

(Home)
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
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Fiorentina

(Away)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0
Pisa
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Torino
29 Aug
Fiorentina
0 : 3
Frosinone
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