Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Pergreffi A.
17'
17'
Muroni M.
23'
23'
Spagnoli A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 game between Modena and Matelica finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Modena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matelica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Modena haven't matched Matelica's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Modena Clean Sheet 20%
Matelica Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Modena | Matelica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Modena vs Matelica
4:1
Oct 17, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Matelica vs Modena
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Modena Compare
Top Goalscorer Muroni M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Pergreffi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Matelica Compare
Top Goalscorer Volpicelli E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Modena 32 / 100
Matelica 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Modena Matelica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matelica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Modena found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Matelica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Modena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Modena VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Modena
(Home) 22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2 Modena
15 Aug
Venezia
3 : 2 Modena
08 Aug
Modena
0 : 0 Vis Pesaro
01 Aug
Trento
0 : 1 Modena
28 Jul
Cagliari
1 : 0 Modena
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Modena
0 : 0 Vis Pesaro
25 Jul
Modena
5 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
12 May
Modena
0 : 1 Juve Stabia
01 May
Modena
2 : 1 Reggiana
18 Apr
Modena
1 : 2 Frosinone
Page 1 of 3
Matelica
(Away) 26 May
Renate
1 : 1 Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1 Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3 Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1 Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0 Imolese
Page 1 of 6
26 May
Renate
1 : 1 Matelica
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3 Matelica
25 Apr
Perugia
2 : 0 Matelica
11 Apr
Carpi
4 : 1 Matelica
27 Mar
Gubbio
3 : 0 Matelica
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perugia | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 67:30 | 79 |
| 2 | Padova | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 68:26 | 79 |
| 3 | Sudtirol | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 66:29 | 75 |
| 4 | Modena | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 51:28 | 70 |
| 5 | FeralpiSalo | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 54:46 | 60 |
| 6 | Triestina | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 48:40 | 59 |
| 7 | Cesena | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 51:42 | 57 |
| 8 | Matelica | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 59:62 | 56 |
| 9 | Sambenedettese | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43:43 | 50 |
| 10 | Mantova | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 47:49 | 49 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 43:44 | 49 |
| 12 | Gubbio | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:45 | 48 |
| 13 | Fermana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 31:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 41:57 | 41 |
| 15 | Carpi | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 45:62 | 41 |
| 16 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 17 | Imolese | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 34:55 | 35 |
| 18 | Fano | 38 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 32:47 | 33 |
| 19 | Ravenna | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 32:62 | 30 |
| 20 | Arezzo | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 37:66 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie B 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
