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Modena vs Verona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Modena host Verona in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Verona have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Modena have conceded 1 and scored 1.32. Head-to-head, Modena have won 0 to Verona's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 29, 2021, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.38) back Modena to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Modena
15%
Draws
46%
Verona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Verona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Modena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Modena Clean Sheet 17%
Verona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modena Verona
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.34
Goals Conceded 1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2021 Club Friendly
Verona vs Modena
3:2
Dec 30, 2012 Serie B
Verona vs Modena
3:1
Aug 24, 2012 Serie B
Modena vs Verona
1:1
May 26, 2012 Serie B
Modena vs Verona
1:1
Jan 6, 2012 Serie B
Verona vs Modena
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modena 36 / 100
Verona 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modena Verona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Verona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Verona conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Modena's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Modena remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Modena VS Verona
1 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Modena

(Home)
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
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Verona

(Away)
02 Oct
Lugano
1 : 3
Verona
20 Sept
Verona
2 : 1
Vicenza
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
19 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 1
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)