Sport Picks

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Modena vs Virtus Bolzano

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mendes P.
Penalty Missed
21' Event
Mendes P.
22' Event
Bianco A.

AI Match Summary

Modena in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Modena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Modena
30%
Draws
29%
Virtus Bolzano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Virtus Bolzano haven't matched Modena's recent run of results.
  • Modena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Modena Clean Sheet 20%
Virtus Bolzano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modena Virtus Bolzano
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.22 0.67
Goals Conceded 1 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Modena vs Virtus Bolzano
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Caso G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mendes P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Virtus Bolzano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modena 85 / 100
Virtus Bolzano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modena Virtus Bolzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Virtus Bolzano conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Modena scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Modena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Modena VS Virtus Bolzano
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Modena

(Home)
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
15 Aug
Venezia
3 : 2
Modena
08 Aug
Modena
0 : 0
Vis Pesaro
01 Aug
Trento
0 : 1
Modena
28 Jul
Cagliari
1 : 0
Modena
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Virtus Bolzano

(Away)
25 Jul
Modena
5 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
13 Aug
Sudtirol
10 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
05 May
Virtus Bolzano
1 : 1
Campodarsego
28 Apr
Mori
0 : 2
Virtus Bolzano
24 Apr
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 2
Portogruaro
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