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Modlany vs Horni Jiretin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Ustecky KP
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
08:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Modlany host Horni Jiretin in the Ustecky KP. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Modlany at 1.48 goals for, 2.07 against; Horni Jiretin at 1.93 for, 2.07 against. Past meetings favor Modlany slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2023, ending 4:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.81, favoring Modlany. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Modlany
30%
Draws
23%
Horni Jiretin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Modlany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Modlany lately — more wins on the board than Horni Jiretin.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Modlany taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Modlany Clean Sheet 11%
Horni Jiretin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modlany Horni Jiretin
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 1 3
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Ustecky KP
Modlany vs Horni Jiretin
4:2
Oct 8, 2022 Ustecky KP
Horni Jiretin vs Modlany
0:4
Mar 26, 2022 Ustecky KP
Horni Jiretin vs Modlany
3:2
Aug 14, 2021 Ustecky KP
Modlany vs Horni Jiretin
2:4
May 1, 2021 Ustecky KP
Modlany vs Horni Jiretin
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modlany 47 / 100
Horni Jiretin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modlany Horni Jiretin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modlany Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Modlany found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Horni Jiretin let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Modlany remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Modlany VS Horni Jiretin
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Modlany

(Home)
10 Oct
Nestemice
2 : 0
Modlany
03 Oct
Modlany
4 : 1
Junior Decin
26 Sept
Louny
3 : 2
Modlany
19 Sept
Modlany
2 : 1
Ledvice
12 Sept
Zatec
2 : 0
Modlany
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Horni Jiretin

(Away)
10 Oct
Junior Decin
3 : 2
Horni Jiretin
03 Oct
Horni Jiretin
1 : 1
Louny
26 Sept
Ledvice
2 : 2
Horni Jiretin
19 Sept
Horni Jiretin
0 : 1
Zatec
12 Sept
Litomericko
2 : 2
Horni Jiretin
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