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Modlany vs Probostov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Ustecky KP
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Modlany host Probostov in the Ustecky KP. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Probostov have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Modlany have conceded 2.07 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, Modlany have won 2 to Probostov's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 2.38, favoring Probostov. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Modlany
15%
Draws
42%
Probostov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modlany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Modlany haven't matched Probostov's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ustecky KP form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Modlany Clean Sheet 10%
Probostov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modlany Probostov
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 20
Draws 1 1
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.48 2.86
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Ustecky KP
Modlany vs Probostov
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Ustecky KP
Probostov vs Modlany
3:0
May 10, 2025 Ustecky KP
Probostov vs Modlany
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 Ustecky KP
Modlany vs Probostov
2:3
Jun 1, 2024 Ustecky KP
Probostov vs Modlany
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modlany 29 / 100
Probostov 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modlany Probostov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modlany Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Probostov conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Modlany found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Probostov lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Modlany VS Probostov
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Modlany

(Home)
03 Oct
Modlany
4 : 1
Junior Decin
26 Sept
Louny
3 : 2
Modlany
19 Sept
Modlany
2 : 1
Ledvice
12 Sept
Zatec
2 : 0
Modlany
04 Sept
Modlany
1 : 2
Litomericko
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Probostov

(Away)
03 Oct
Nestemice
1 : 0
Probostov
26 Sept
Probostov
2 : 1
Klasterec nad Ohri
19 Sept
Junior Decin
4 : 2
Probostov
12 Sept
Probostov
3 : 1
Banik Most - Sous B
06 Sept
Louny
3 : 0
Probostov
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