Sport Picks

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Modra vs Nova Dedinka

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - Bratislava 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Bratislava 2025/2026 game between Modra and Nova Dedinka finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Modra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Modra
15%
Draws
46%
Nova Dedinka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nova Dedinka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Modra haven't matched Nova Dedinka's recent run of results.
  • Modra are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nova Dedinka have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Modra Clean Sheet 10%
Nova Dedinka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modra Nova Dedinka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 4. liga - Bratislava
Modra vs Nova Dedinka
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 4. liga - Bratislava
Nova Dedinka vs Modra
3:0
May 4, 2025 4. liga - Bratislava
Nova Dedinka vs Modra
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 4. liga - Bratislava
Modra vs Nova Dedinka
0:3
Apr 6, 2024 4. liga - Bratislava
Modra vs Nova Dedinka
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modra 38 / 100
Nova Dedinka 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modra Nova Dedinka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modra found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Nova Dedinka let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Modra remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Modra VS Nova Dedinka
1.71 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 88%
71% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Modra

(Home)
13 Jun
Tomasov
1 : 0
Modra
06 Jun
Modra
3 : 2
Nova Dedinka
31 May
Dunajska Luzna
4 : 1
Modra
23 May
Modra
1 : 3
Bernolakovo
17 May
Rusovce
1 : 4
Modra
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Nova Dedinka

(Away)
29 Aug
NSK 1922 Bratislava
4 : 2
Nova Dedinka
23 Aug
Nova Dedinka
1 : 0
Tomasov
19 Aug
Nova Dedinka
1 : 5
Petrzalka
16 Aug
Kalinkovo
2 : 2
Nova Dedinka
09 Aug
Nova Dedinka
3 : 0
Malinovo
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