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Modum vs Jevnaker

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Modum in this Division 3 - Group 4 2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Modum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Modum
20%
Draws
46%
Jevnaker
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jevnaker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Modum lately — more wins on the board than Jevnaker.
  • Win probability leans Modum's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Modum Clean Sheet 10%
Jevnaker Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modum Jevnaker
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.53 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.09 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Modum vs Jevnaker
3:2
Jun 29, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Jevnaker vs Modum
3:1
Aug 3, 2013 Division 3 - Group 4
Modum vs Jevnaker
1:1
Apr 21, 2013 Division 3 - Group 4
Jevnaker vs Modum
4:2
Apr 18, 2012 NM Cup
Jevnaker vs Modum
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modum 83 / 100
Jevnaker 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modum Jevnaker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jevnaker conceded in 94% of 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Modum scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Modum stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Modum VS Jevnaker
0 Goals Scored 0.88
6 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Modum

(Home)
23 Aug
Modum
0 : 6
Stromsgodset
24 Oct
Sandefjord 2
2 : 4
Modum
17 Oct
Modum
0 : 4
Vestfossen
10 Oct
Modum
2 : 0
Skarphedin
03 Oct
Tonsberg
4 : 1
Modum
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Jevnaker

(Away)
27 Jan
Honefoss
16 : 0
Jevnaker
22 Oct
Hauerseter
1 : 3
Jevnaker
15 Oct
Jevnaker
3 : 3
Lillestrom 2
08 Oct
Jevnaker
2 : 0
Hallingdal
01 Oct
Sander
2 : 2
Jevnaker
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