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Modum vs Nordre Land

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2013 game between Modum and Nordre Land finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Modum
15%
Draws
12%
Nordre Land
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Nordre Land haven't matched Modum's recent run of results.
  • Modum are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Modum Clean Sheet 14%
Nordre Land Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modum Nordre Land
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.6 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2013 Division 3 - Group 4
Modum vs Nordre Land
2:2
Jun 16, 2013 Division 3 - Group 4
Nordre Land vs Modum
3:5
Sep 29, 2012 Division 3 - Group 3
Modum vs Nordre Land
0:2
Jun 9, 2012 Division 3 - Group 3
Nordre Land vs Modum
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modum 48 / 100
Nordre Land 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modum Nordre Land

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nordre Land conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Modum scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Nordre Land lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Modum VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Modum

(Home)
23 Aug
Modum
0 : 6
Stromsgodset
24 Oct
Sandefjord 2
2 : 4
Modum
17 Oct
Modum
0 : 4
Vestfossen
10 Oct
Modum
2 : 0
Skarphedin
03 Oct
Tonsberg
4 : 1
Modum
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Nordre Land

(Away)
19 Oct
Raufoss 2
3 : 0
Nordre Land
12 Oct
Nordre Land
2 : 3
Ullern
05 Oct
Modum
2 : 2
Nordre Land
30 Sept
Nordre Land
0 : 3
Mjondalen 2
23 Sept
Lommedalen
2 : 0
Nordre Land
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