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Stadium Background

Mogadishu City vs Dekedda

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National league matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mogadishu City
6%
Draws
90%
Dekedda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Dekedda at 2.63 per game, Mogadishu City at 1.38.
  • Model gives Dekedda a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 16%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogadishu City Dekedda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Mogadishu City
0:0
Apr 22, 2026 National league
Mogadishu City vs Dekedda
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 National league
Mogadishu City vs Dekedda
1:0
Jan 13, 2025 National league
Dekedda vs Mogadishu City
1:2
Aug 4, 2024 National league
Mogadishu City vs Dekedda
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogadishu City 10 / 100
Dekedda 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogadishu City Dekedda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mogadishu City found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Mogadishu City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dekedda has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mogadishu City VS Dekedda
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mogadishu City

(Home)
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
08 Jul
Jubba
0 : 4
Mogadishu City
30 Jun
Dekedda
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
23 Jun
Mogadishu City
1 : 0
Raadsan
Page 1 of 6

Dekedda

(Away)
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
06 Jul
Raadsan
3 : 6
Dekedda
30 Jun
Dekedda
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado19621137:3320
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
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