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Mogadishu City vs Jazeera

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mogadishu City in this National league matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mogadishu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mogadishu City
44%
Draws
20%
Jazeera
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mogadishu City lately — more wins on the board than Jazeera.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mogadishu City have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 17%
Jazeera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogadishu City Jazeera
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 National league
Jazeera vs Mogadishu City
1:3
Apr 10, 2026 National league
Mogadishu City vs Jazeera
4:0
Apr 9, 2025 National league
Jazeera vs Mogadishu City
3:6
Dec 22, 2024 National league
Mogadishu City vs Jazeera
3:1
Jul 25, 2024 National league
Mogadishu City vs Jazeera
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogadishu City 36 / 100
Jazeera 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogadishu City Jazeera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mogadishu City found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Jazeera let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Mogadishu City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mogadishu City VS Jazeera
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Mogadishu City

(Home)
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
08 Jul
Jubba
0 : 4
Mogadishu City
30 Jun
Dekedda
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
23 Jun
Mogadishu City
1 : 0
Raadsan
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Jazeera

(Away)
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
10 Jul
Badbaado
4 : 1
Jazeera
02 Jul
Jazeera
4 : 2
Jubba
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado19621137:3320
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
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