Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mogadishu City vs Jazeera Prediction & H2H Stats

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mogadishu City in this National league matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mogadishu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mogadishu City
15%
Draws
49%
Jazeera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jazeera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mogadishu City lately — more wins on the board than Jazeera.
  • Model gives Mogadishu City a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mogadishu City have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 13%
Jazeera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogadishu City Jazeera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 National league
Jazeera vs Mogadishu City
1:3
Apr 10, 2026 National league
Mogadishu City vs Jazeera
4:0
Apr 9, 2025 National league
Jazeera vs Mogadishu City
3:6
Dec 22, 2024 National league
Mogadishu City vs Jazeera
3:1
Jul 25, 2024 National league
Mogadishu City vs Jazeera
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogadishu City 39 / 100
Jazeera 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogadishu City Jazeera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mogadishu City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jazeera conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Mogadishu City's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Jazeera lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mogadishu City VS Jazeera
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Mogadishu City

(Home)
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

Jazeera

(Away)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)