Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mogadishu City vs Kitara

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup
Mogadishu City Logo

Mogadishu City

1 - 2
FT
Kitara Logo

Kitara

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Khamis I.
33' Event
Kalema J.
34' Event
Kalema J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Mogadishu City
20%
Draws
63%
Kitara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kitara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Mogadishu City at 1.63 per game, Kitara at 1.57.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Kitara, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 25%
Kitara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogadishu City Kitara
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.63 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Kitara vs Mogadishu City
2:0
Sep 6, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Mogadishu City vs Kitara
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mogadishu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Khamis I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Kitara Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalema J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogadishu City 33 / 100
Kitara 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogadishu City Kitara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mogadishu City scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Kitara has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Mogadishu City remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mogadishu City VS Kitara
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mogadishu City

(Home)
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

Kitara

(Away)
17 Sept
Express FC
1 : 1
Kitara
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
29 Aug
Villa
1 : 1
Kitara
30 May
Kitara
2 : 1
Villa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 2
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -