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Mogadishu City vs Raadsan

Somalia Somalia

National league
Mogadishu City Logo

Mogadishu City

1 - 0
FT
Raadsan Logo

Raadsan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Mogadishu City and Raadsan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mogadishu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mogadishu City
15%
Draws
49%
Raadsan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raadsan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mogadishu City come out ahead of Raadsan on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Mogadishu City taking it.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mogadishu City here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 16%
Raadsan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogadishu City Raadsan
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.7 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 National league
Mogadishu City vs Raadsan
1:0
Apr 15, 2026 National league
Raadsan vs Mogadishu City
1:2
May 17, 2025 National league
Mogadishu City vs Raadsan
3:1
Feb 2, 2025 National league
Raadsan vs Mogadishu City
1:2
Jul 5, 2024 National league
Mogadishu City vs Raadsan
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogadishu City 39 / 100
Raadsan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogadishu City Raadsan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mogadishu City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raadsan has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Mogadishu City scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Raadsan's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mogadishu City VS Raadsan
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 3.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Mogadishu City

(Home)
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
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Raadsan

(Away)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Raadsan
0 : 4
Heegan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
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