Sport Picks
Match Events
68'
68'
Niltton I.
AI Match Summary
The Paulista B game between Mogi Mirim and Independente SP finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independente SP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mogi Mirim
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Independente SP carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Mogi Mirim taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Mogi Mirim Clean Sheet 10%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mogi Mirim | Independente SP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 39 |
| Wins | 6 | 22 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.40 | 2.77 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Paulista B
Independente SP vs Mogi Mirim
4:1
Apr 25, 2026 Paulista B
Mogi Mirim vs Independente SP
0:1
Jun 18, 2023 Paulista A4
Mogi Mirim vs Independente SP
1:1
May 14, 2023 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs Mogi Mirim
0:2
Sep 22, 2021 Paulista A4
Mogi Mirim vs Independente SP
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mogi Mirim Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7
Independente SP Compare
Top Goalscorer Niltton I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.52
Avg xA / game 1.54
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mogi Mirim 34 / 100
Independente SP 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mogi Mirim Independente SP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independente SP has conceded goals in 72% of their last 39 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Mogi Mirim remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Mogi Mirim scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Mogi Mirim VS Independente SP
2.17 Goals Scored 3.88
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mogi Mirim
(Home) 20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6 Mogi Mirim
30 May
Independente SP
4 : 1 Mogi Mirim
23 May
Mogi Mirim
3 : 1 Sao Carlos
Page 1 of 6
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
23 May
Mogi Mirim
3 : 1 Sao Carlos
16 May
Mogi Mirim
1 : 3 Matonense
02 May
Mogi Mirim
2 : 1 Catanduvense
25 Apr
Mogi Mirim
0 : 1 Independente SP
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Independente SP
(Away) 16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1 America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0 Independente SP
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0 Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0 Independente SP
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
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09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0 Independente SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0 Independente SP
12 Jul
Paulinense
0 : 1 Independente SP
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Independente SP
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
