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Mogi Mirim vs Independente SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Scoring Trends

Mogi Mirim
VS
Independente SP
1.63
Goals Scored
2.5
1.63
Goals Conceded
0.63
1.13 Expected Goals (xG) 2.06
75%
Over 1.5
75%
63%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Over 3.5
38%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Independente SP hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. Defensive discipline will likely be the priority for both managers.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win28%
Draw17%
Away Win55%

Goals & Scoring

BTTS/GG: Yes37%
Over 1.5 Goals74%
Over 2.5 Goals37%

Match Events

68' Event
Niltton I.

Previous Encounters

30 May 26 PAU
Independente SP
4:1
Mogi Mirim
25 Apr 26 PAU
Mogi Mirim
0:1
Independente SP
18 Jun 23 PAU
Mogi Mirim
1:1
Independente SP
14 May 23 PAU
Independente SP
0:2
Mogi Mirim
22 Sept 21 PAU
Mogi Mirim
0:2
Independente SP

Recent Form (Last 5)

Mogi Mirim

Home Team
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1
Mogi Mirim
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0
Santacruzense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6
Mogi Mirim
30 May
Independente SP
4 : 1
Mogi Mirim
23 May
Mogi Mirim
3 : 1
Sao Carlos

Independente SP

Away Team
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2
Independente SP
20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0
Catanduvense
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0
Independente SP
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1
Santacruzense
30 May
Independente SP
4 : 1
Mogi Mirim

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jose Bonifacio EC1064017:622
2America SP1054113:719
3Assisense1035217:1514
4Tupa1041514:1613
5Riopretano101459:167
6Santa Fe SP1020810:206
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independente SP1080237:724
2Matonense1071228:1022
3Sao Carlos1043319:1115
4Santacruzense1042419:1314
5Mogi Mirim1040615:1512
6Catanduvense1000104:660
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo SP1072113:623
2Paulinense105059:1615
3Audax-SP1051415:913
4Paulinia FU1031611:1410
5Votoraty SP1021712:197
6Guarulhos1051419:154
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Itaqua1081121:625
2Maua FC1044220:1516
3Uniao Mogi1052314:1314
4Manthiqueira1042417:1714
5Mauaense1033410:1012
6Barcelona SP1000105:260

Match Preview: Mogi Mirim vs Independente SP

Fans of Paulista B turn their attention to the clash involving Mogi Mirim and Independente SP. Scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 18:00 UTC, the match will take place at the stadium. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Mogi Mirim will look to leverage their #5 to gain an advantage, while Independente SP aims to improve their #1 with a positive result on the road. Mogi Mirim enters the match in a form of L-W-W-L-W, while Independente SP shows a form of W-W-L-L-W.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically. In their last 5 head-to-head encounters, Mogi Mirim has won 1 times, Independente SP has won 3 times, and there have been 1 draws.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Mogi Mirim will try to assert dominance early, whereas Independente SP might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances. Statistically, Mogi Mirim has scored 1.63 goals and conceded 1.63 goals in recent games, while Independente SP has scored 2.5 and conceded 0.63 goals.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in Paulista B, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.

Event Details

  • Match: Mogi Mirim vs Independente SP
  • Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
  • Time: 18:00 UTC
  • Competition: Paulista B
  • Venue: the stadium, Brazil

Note: Information provided by Sokapicks for informational purposes.