Sport Picks

Algeria

Algeria Cup 2018/2019

Ghriss

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mohammadia SA play Ghriss in the Algeria Cup 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mohammadia SA averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Ghriss averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Mohammadia SA won 1, Ghriss won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 28, 2018 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Mohammadia SA and 1.44 for Ghriss. This points to a Ghriss double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Mohammadia SA

20%

Draws

41%

Ghriss

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ghriss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Mohammadia SA picked up more points recently compared to Ghriss.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 62%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Mohammadia SA Clean Sheet 16%

Ghriss Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 56%

Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mohammadia SA	Ghriss
Matches Played	30	11
Wins	9	6
Draws	8	0
Losses	13	5
Goals Scored	0.97	1.09
Goals Conceded	1.5	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 28, 2018 Algeria Cup

Mohammadia SA vs Ghriss

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohammadia SA Compare

Top Goalscorer Benhamou M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Ghriss Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohammadia SA 38 / 100

Ghriss 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mohammadia SA Ghriss

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ghriss or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mohammadia SA attacking → ← attacking Ghriss

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohammadia SA scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ghriss let in goals in 55% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Mohammadia SA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ghriss lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 18

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88