Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mohammadia SA vs Mostaganem

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2011/2012 game between Mohammadia SA and Mostaganem finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mohammadia SA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Mohammadia SA
20%
Draws
36%
Mostaganem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mohammadia SA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Mostaganem haven't matched Mohammadia SA's recent run of results.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Mohammadia SA taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mohammadia SA Clean Sheet 20%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohammadia SA Mostaganem
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2013 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs Mohammadia SA
3:2
Dec 21, 2012 Ligue 2
Mohammadia SA vs Mostaganem
0:0
Apr 13, 2012 Ligue 2
Mohammadia SA vs Mostaganem
1:0
Dec 2, 2011 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs Mohammadia SA
2:1
Jun 10, 2011 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs Mohammadia SA
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohammadia SA 40 / 100
Mostaganem 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohammadia SA Mostaganem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohammadia SA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohammadia SA found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Mostaganem conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mohammadia SA stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mostaganem
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohammadia SA

(Home)
21 Jan
CR Belouizdad
3 : 0
Mohammadia SA
28 Dec
Mohammadia SA
1 : 0
Ghriss
18 Dec
Mohammadia SA
2 : 1
USM Setif
30 Dec
Mohammadia SA
1 : 2
Saoura
03 May
Mostaganem
3 : 2
Mohammadia SA
Page 1 of 6

Mostaganem

(Away)
26 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 0
Hussein Dey
19 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 2
USM Blida
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0
Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1
Mostaganem
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bordj Bou Arreridj 30 17 6 7 36:21 57
2 Saoura 30 17 5 8 48:26 56
3 Bel Abbes 30 14 8 8 34:24 50
4 MO Bejaia 30 15 4 11 43:30 49
5 USM Blida 30 12 9 9 40:36 45
6 Mostaganem 30 12 8 10 38:32 44
7 ASM Oran 30 10 11 9 34:36 41
8 Annaba 30 11 7 12 31:34 40
9 MSP Batna 30 10 10 10 24:27 40
10 Merouana 30 10 9 11 24:29 39
11 Medea 30 9 11 10 24:29 38
12 MO Constantine 30 10 8 12 36:40 38
13 Mohammadia SA 30 11 3 16 30:48 36
14 Paradou 30 9 8 13 34:34 35
15 RC Kouba 30 8 8 14 29:39 32
16 Biskra 30 6 3 21 26:46 21
Promotion - Ligue 1 2012/2013 (Main)