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Mohammedan vs Fakirerpool YMC Prediction & H2H Stats

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL 2025/2026 Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium, Mymensingh
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Sub
Habib M. In: Arian H.
Out: Habib M.
42'
Marandi P.
46'
Sub
Uddin R. In: Jewel M.
Out: Uddin R.

AI Match Summary

The BFL 2025/2026 game between Mohammedan and Fakirerpool YMC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mohammedan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mohammedan
15%
Draws
26%
Fakirerpool YMC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohammedan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Mohammedan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Mohammedan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mohammedan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 20%
Fakirerpool YMC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohammedan Fakirerpool YMC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.06 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Mohammedan
0:1
Apr 17, 2026 BFL
Mohammedan vs Fakirerpool YMC
3:0
Nov 29, 2025 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Mohammedan
2:0
May 27, 2025 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Mohammedan
1:6
Jan 31, 2025 Federation Cup
Mohammedan vs Fakirerpool YMC
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohammedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahamed M. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jewel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Fakirerpool YMC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohammedan 85 / 100
Fakirerpool YMC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohammedan Fakirerpool YMC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohammedan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mohammedan scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Fakirerpool YMC conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Mohammedan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mohammedan VS Fakirerpool YMC
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohammedan

(Home)
02 Oct
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
Mohammedan
23 May
Mohammedan
5 : 0
Brothers U.
20 May
Bashundara Kings
3 : 2
Mohammedan
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
12 May
Brothers U.
1 : 2
Mohammedan
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Fakirerpool YMC

(Away)
02 Oct
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
Mohammedan
22 Sept
Fortis
1 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
18 Sept
Fakirerpool YMC
2 : 1
Dhaka Wanderers
23 May
Bashundara Kings
4 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
15 May
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
PWD Sports Club
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