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Mohammedan vs FC Goa

India India

ISL Kishore Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Moreno P.
Assist: Drazic D.
8'
Mahitosh R.
24'
Jhingan S.

AI Match Summary

FC Goa in this ISL matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Goa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mohammedan
20%
Draws
29%
FC Goa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mohammedan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Goa have won more games recently than Mohammedan.
  • Mohammedan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 68%
FC Goa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohammedan FC Goa
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.22 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 ISL
Mohammedan vs FC Goa
0:2
Mar 4, 2025 ISL
FC Goa vs Mohammedan
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 ISL
Mohammedan vs FC Goa
1:1
Aug 16, 2022 Durand Cup
Mohammedan vs FC Goa
3:1
Oct 3, 2021 Durand Cup
Mohammedan vs FC Goa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohammedan Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

FC Goa Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohammedan 50 / 100
FC Goa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohammedan FC Goa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohammedan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mohammedan scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: FC Goa conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Mohammedan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mohammedan VS FC Goa
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohammedan

(Home)
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohammedan
11 Sept
Mohammedan
2 : 0
Bhawanipore
04 Sept
Peerless
2 : 0
Mohammedan
31 Aug
Kalighat SL
1 : 2
Mohammedan
28 Aug
Coal India
2 : 0
Mohammedan
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FC Goa

(Away)
12 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Goa
18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
FC Goa
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan
01 May
Jamshedpur
2 : 0
FC Goa
24 Apr
North East United
0 : 2
FC Goa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 13 7 5 1 30:11 26
2 Mohun Bagan 13 7 5 1 23:9 26
3 Mumbai City 13 7 4 2 17:9 25
4 Bengaluru FC 13 6 5 2 18:12 23
5 Jamshedpur 13 6 4 3 15:10 22
6 Minerva Punjab 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 FC Goa 13 5 5 3 15:11 20
8 Kerala Blasters 13 5 2 6 15:17 17
9 North East United 13 4 4 5 16:21 16
10 Inter Kashi 13 3 4 6 11:17 13
11 Odisha FC 13 2 5 6 14:22 11
12 SC Delhi 13 2 5 6 13:17 11
13 Chennaiyin FC 13 2 3 8 9:21 9
14 Mohammedan 13 0 3 10 7:32 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)