Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mohammedan vs Samaleswari SC

India India

Durand Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bhat B.
27' Event
Tareck Marat D.
60' Event
Lalthankima

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mohammedan
20%
Draws
51%
Samaleswari SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samaleswari SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mohammedan come out ahead of Samaleswari SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mohammedan a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Mohammedan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Samaleswari SC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 13%
Samaleswari SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohammedan Samaleswari SC
Matches Played 27 7
Wins 6 4
Draws 6 0
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.22 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Durand Cup
Mohammedan vs Samaleswari SC
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohammedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lalthankima
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lalngaihsaka
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Samaleswari SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bhat B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tareck Marat D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohammedan 35 / 100
Samaleswari SC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohammedan Samaleswari SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samaleswari SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 7 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Mohammedan scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Mohammedan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mohammedan VS Samaleswari SC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.29
100% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohammedan

(Home)
22 Aug
United SC
1 : 1
Mohammedan
19 Aug
Mohammedan
1 : 1
Police AC
12 Aug
Mohammedan
1 : 2
Army Red
08 Aug
Mohammedan
2 : 0
Calcutta Police
02 Aug
Mohammedan
2 : 3
Samaleswari SC
Page 1 of 6

Samaleswari SC

(Away)
02 Aug
Mohammedan
2 : 3
Samaleswari SC
30 Jul
Samaleswari SC
4 : 1
Baghpat
26 Jul
Army Red
1 : 0
Samaleswari SC
06 May
Samaleswari SC
0 : 1
TRAU FC
04 May
Mumbay FC
1 : 4
Samaleswari SC
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 3 3 0 0 15:0 9
2 East Bengal 3 2 0 1 13:1 6
3 South United 3 1 0 2 2:13 3
4 CISF Protectors 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Army Red 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Samaleswari SC 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Mohammedan 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
4 Baghpat 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Delhi 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Jamshedpur 3 2 0 1 12:2 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 1 0 2 3:14 3
4 Defenders FC 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Raengdai 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
2 TRAU FC 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 NEROCA 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Indian Navy 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lajong 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Langsning 3 1 2 0 10:5 5
3 Nongkseh 3 1 1 1 9:4 4
4 Mumbay FC 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Bodoland FC 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 FC 1 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Karbi Anglong 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)