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Mohelnice vs Sokol Bernartice (OLK)

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Olomoucky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Olomoucky KP 2025/2026 game between Mohelnice and Sokol Bernartice (OLK) finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mohelnice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mohelnice
15%
Draws
26%
Sokol Bernartice (OLK)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohelnice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mohelnice come out ahead of Sokol Bernartice (OLK) on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mohelnice a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Mohelnice Clean Sheet 10%
Sokol Bernartice (OLK) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohelnice Sokol Bernartice (OLK)
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 3 2
Losses 16 24
Goals Scored 1.52 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.14 5.2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.08 2.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Olomoucky KP
Sokol Bernartice (OLK) vs Mohelnice
4:2
Nov 1, 2025 Olomoucky KP
Mohelnice vs Sokol Bernartice (OLK)
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohelnice 83 / 100
Sokol Bernartice (OLK) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohelnice Sokol Bernartice (OLK)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohelnice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sokol Bernartice (OLK) conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Mohelnice found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Mohelnice remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mohelnice VS Sokol Bernartice (OLK)
1.75 Goals Scored 1.6
2.88 Goals Conceded 4.4
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohelnice

(Home)
03 Oct
Mohelnice
2 : 0
Velke Losiny
25 Sept
Postrelmov
1 : 1
Mohelnice
19 Sept
Mohelnice
4 : 1
Lostice
12 Sept
Mohelnice
1 : 2
Brodek u Prerova
05 Sept
Prerov
2 : 0
Mohelnice
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Sokol Bernartice (OLK)

(Away)
13 Jun
Jesenik
4 : 2
Sokol Bernartice (OLK)
06 Jun
Sokol Bernartice (OLK)
4 : 2
Mohelnice
30 May
Velke Losiny
2 : 1
Sokol Bernartice (OLK)
23 May
Sokol Bernartice (OLK)
0 : 8
Prerov
16 May
Postrelmov
6 : 1
Sokol Bernartice (OLK)
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