Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mohun Bagan U23 vs Police AC

India India

Calcutta Premier Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan U23 play Police AC in the Calcutta Premier Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mohun Bagan U23 averaged 2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Police AC averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Mohun Bagan U23 won 0, Police AC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 30, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Mohun Bagan U23 and 1.56 for Police AC. This points to a Mohun Bagan U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mohun Bagan U23
23%
Draws
38%
Police AC
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Mohun Bagan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan U23 picked up more points recently compared to Police AC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Mohun Bagan U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Police AC Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan U23 Police AC
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2025 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Police AC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Police AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Naim A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan U23 38 / 100
Police AC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan U23 Police AC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mohun Bagan U23 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mohun Bagan U23 attacking → ← attacking Police AC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohun Bagan U23 scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Police AC let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Mohun Bagan U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Police AC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 41
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1East Bengal1172230:1023
2Suruchi Sangha1164124:822
3Calcutta Customs1164118:1022
4Police AC1163221:821
5Mohun Bagan U231152421:1417
6Patha Chakra1151512:1616
7BSS Sporting1142512:2114
8Kalighat SL114167:1413
9George Telegrapher1132613:2011
10Measurers Club113179:2310
11Kalighat Milan Sangha112369:169
12Railway FC111374:206
13Army Red00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1United SC1283118:627
2Diamond Harbour1274116:525
3United Kolkata1273221:724
4Bhawanipore1264221:722
5Peerless1256114:621
6Rainbow AC1255222:920
7Sribhumi FC1246219:1518
8Kidderpore SC1251618:2616
9Wari1241710:2613
10Aryan124089:1812
11Mohammedan1232714:1911
12Calcutta Police1211108:284
13Southern Samity12021010:282