Sport Picks

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Mohun Bagan vs Blue Star

Asia Asia

AFC Cup 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kauko J.
29' Event
Singh M.
39' Event
Kauko J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Mohun Bagan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Mohun Bagan
15%
Draws
36%
Blue Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Blue Star haven't matched Mohun Bagan's recent run of results.
  • Mohun Bagan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Mohun Bagan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mohun Bagan, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 20%
Blue Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Blue Star
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.21 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2022 AFC Cup
Mohun Bagan vs Blue Star
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kauko J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Blue Star Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 85 / 100
Blue Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Blue Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Mohun Bagan's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Blue Star conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Mohun Bagan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS Blue Star
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
Jamshedpur
10 Aug
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
CISF Protectors
04 Aug
Mohun Bagan
8 : 0
South United
Page 1 of 6

Blue Star

(Away)
14 Sept
Ratnam SC
1 : 3
Blue Star
05 Sept
Defenders FC
1 : 2
Blue Star
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
23 Aug
Blue Star
0 : 2
Colombo
18 Aug
New Young's SC
0 : 5
Blue Star
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mohun Bagan -
TBD -
Machhindra 1
Blue Star 2
Abahani Limited Dhaka -
TBD -
Valencia 2
Paro 1
Lee Man Warriors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Athletic 220 -
Semi-finals
Mohun Bagan 5
Blue Star 0
Abahani Limited Dhaka -
Valencia -
Lee Man Warriors -
TBD -
TBD -
Athletic 220 -
Final
Mohun Bagan 3
Abahani Limited Dhaka 1
Lee Man Warriors 2
Athletic 220 1