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Mohun Bagan vs Dempo Prediction & H2H Stats

India India

Super Cup Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Biswas D.
34'
Ali M.
46'
Sub
Cummings J. In: Maclaren J.
Out: Cummings J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mohun Bagan
30%
Draws
23%
Dempo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mohun Bagan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mohun Bagan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dempo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 68%
Dempo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Dempo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.24 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Super Cup
Mohun Bagan vs Dempo
0:0
Mar 22, 2015 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Dempo
2:0
Mar 4, 2015 I-League
Dempo vs Mohun Bagan
1:1
Dec 14, 2013 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Dempo
0:1
Nov 1, 2013 I-League
Dempo vs Mohun Bagan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 95 / 100
Dempo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Dempo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mohun Bagan scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Dempo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Mohun Bagan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS Dempo
2.13 Goals Scored 0.67
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
Jamshedpur
10 Aug
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
CISF Protectors
Page 1 of 6

Dempo

(Away)
22 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Sreenidi Deccan
17 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Diamond Harbour
09 May
Chanmari
2 : 0
Dempo
01 May
Rajasthan United
0 : 1
Dempo
26 Apr
Lajong
0 : 0
Dempo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
2 Mohun Bagan 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
3 Dempo 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 Chennaiyin FC 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Goa 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
2 North East United 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
3 Jamshedpur 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Inter Kashi 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minerva Punjab 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Bengaluru FC 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Gokulam 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Mohammedan 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mumbai City 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
2 Kerala Blasters 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Rajasthan United 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 SC Delhi 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)