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Stadium Background

Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal

India India

ISL Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Rodriguez A.
59'
Singh Gill P.
63'
Sub
P V V. In: Lalrindika E.
Out: P V V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this ISL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Mohun Bagan
22%
Draws
60%
East Bengal
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • East Bengal have won more games recently than Mohun Bagan.
  • East Bengal are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 12%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan East Bengal
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 1.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal
1:1
Oct 31, 2025 Super Cup
Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 IFA Shield
East Bengal vs Mohun Bagan
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 Durand Cup
Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal
1:2
Jan 11, 2025 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Cummings J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

East Bengal Compare

Top Goalscorer Lalrindika E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 19 / 100
East Bengal 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan East Bengal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohun Bagan has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mohun Bagan found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

East Bengal let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS East Bengal
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
21 May
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
SC Delhi
17 May
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
East Bengal
12 May
Mohun Bagan
0 : 0
Inter Kashi
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan
19 Apr
North East United
0 : 1
Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 6

East Bengal

(Away)
18 Jul
East Bengal
1 : 0
Railway FC
15 Jul
Bidhannagar Municipal SA
1 : 5
East Bengal
12 Jul
East Bengal
3 : 0
George Telegrapher
21 May
Inter Kashi
1 : 2
East Bengal
17 May
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
East Bengal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal1375130:1126
2Mohun Bagan1375123:926
3Mumbai City1374217:925
4Bengaluru FC1365218:1223
5Jamshedpur1364315:1022
6Minerva Punjab1364318:1222
7FC Goa1355315:1120
8Kerala Blasters1352615:1717
9North East United1344516:2116
10Inter Kashi1334611:1713
11Odisha FC1325614:2211
12SC Delhi1325613:1711
13Chennaiyin FC132389:219
14Mohammedan1303107:323
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)