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Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai

India India

I-League 2016/2017 Barasat Stadium, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kotal P.
21' Event
Singh T.
22' Event
Fernandes V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I-League 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mohun Bagan
6%
Draws
4%
Mumbai
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mumbai haven't matched Mohun Bagan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mohun Bagan a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I-League 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 20%
Mumbai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Mumbai
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 23 4
Draws 12 11
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2017 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai
2:2
Feb 15, 2017 I-League
Mumbai vs Mohun Bagan
0:0
Mar 13, 2016 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai
2:0
Feb 10, 2016 I-League
Mumbai vs Mohun Bagan
0:0
May 2, 2015 I-League
Mumbai vs Mohun Bagan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kotal P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Singh B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mumbai Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandes V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 85 / 100
Mumbai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Mumbai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Mohun Bagan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Mohun Bagan scored in 79% of their last 38 outings.

Mumbai has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
25 Jul
East Bengal
0 : 1
Mohun Bagan
21 May
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
SC Delhi
17 May
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
East Bengal
12 May
Mohun Bagan
0 : 0
Inter Kashi
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 8

Mumbai

(Away)
29 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 4
East Bengal
23 Apr
Mumbai
1 : 1
Lajong
16 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Chennai City FC
08 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Churchill Brothers
11 Mar
DSK Shivajians
5 : 0
Mumbai
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aizawl FC18114324:1437
2Mohun Bagan18106227:1236
3East Bengal18103533:1533
4Bengaluru FC1886430:1530
5Lajong1875624:2326
6Churchill Brothers1855824:2620
7DSK Shivajians1846822:3018
8Chennai City FC1845915:2917
9Minerva Punjab1827917:3313
10Mumbai182799:2813
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