Sport Picks
Mohun Bagan vs North East United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
India
Durand Cup 
Match Events
1'
1'
Ninkovic N.
(Penalty)
1'
1'
Bheke R.
(Penalty)
2'
2'
Ajaraie A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mohun Bagan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mohun Bagan carry the better recent record into this one.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Mohun Bagan taking it.
- Mohun Bagan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mohun Bagan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Mohun Bagan have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 68%
North East United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mohun Bagan | North East United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 2 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.52 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2026 IFA Shield
Mohun Bagan vs North East United
1:1
Aug 20, 2026 Durand Cup
Mohun Bagan vs North East United
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 ISL
North East United vs Mohun Bagan
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 ISL
North East United vs Mohun Bagan
0:2
Sep 23, 2024 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs North East United
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mohun Bagan 95 / 100
North East United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mohun Bagan North East United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mohun Bagan scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: North East United conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Mohun Bagan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mohun Bagan VS North East United
3.38 Goals Scored 3
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Mohun Bagan
(Home) 08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 East Bengal
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1 North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0 Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1 Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 7
08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 East Bengal
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1 North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0 Sreenidi Deccan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 North East United
Page 1 of 5
North East United
(Away) 05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2 North East United
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1 North East United
26 Sept
Sreenidi Deccan
0 : 3 North East United
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 North East United
17 Aug
Lajong
2 : 5 North East United
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2 North East United
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1 North East United
26 Sept
Sreenidi Deccan
0 : 3 North East United
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 North East United
17 Aug
Lajong
2 : 5 North East United
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
SC Delhi 5
Raengdai 1
Army Red 0
East Bengal 1
Mohun Bagan 2
Jamshedpur 1
Lajong 2
North East United 5
Semi-finals
SC Delhi 0
East Bengal 1
Mohun Bagan 1
North East United 0
Final
East Bengal 4
Mohun Bagan 1
