Sport Picks

India

Durand Cup

Mohun Bagan

8 - 0

South United

Our Tip

Match Events

Singh M.

Rodriguez A.

18'

Bheke R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 8-0. This leg finished 8-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Mohun Bagan

15%

Draws

21%

South United

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Mohun Bagan lately — more wins on the board than South United.
64% — that's where the model lands on Mohun Bagan taking it.
Mohun Bagan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Mohun Bagan, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 20%

South United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mohun Bagan	South United
Matches Played	28	6
Wins	17	1
Draws	7	1
Losses	4	4
Goals Scored	2.14	0.83
Goals Conceded	0.68	3.83
Expected Goals (xG)	2.85	0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Durand Cup

Mohun Bagan vs South United

8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh M.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Bhat S.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.19

Avg xA / game 1.43

South United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65

Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 85 / 100

South United 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mohun Bagan South United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South United has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Mohun Bagan scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Mohun Bagan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS South United

1.38 Goals Scored 0.67

0.75 Goals Conceded 4.33

50% Over 1.5 100%

25% Over 2.5 67%

25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)

23 Sept

Mohun Bagan

6 : 0

Sreenidi Deccan

23 Aug

East Bengal

4 : 1

Mohun Bagan

20 Aug

Mohun Bagan

1 : 0

North East United

17 Aug

Mohun Bagan

2 : 1

Jamshedpur

10 Aug

Mohun Bagan

6 : 0

CISF Protectors

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South United

(Away)

07 Aug

East Bengal

5 : 0

South United

04 Aug

Mohun Bagan

8 : 0

South United

28 Jul

South United

2 : 0

CISF Protectors

30 Jul

Namdhari

2 : 0

South United

27 Jul

Indian Air Force (New Delhi)

3 : 3

South United

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