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Mohun Bagan vs Tollygunge Agragami

India India

Calcutta Premier Division 2024 Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Khatua P.
Own Goal
59' Event
Bhat S.
63' Event
Bhat S.

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan in this Calcutta Premier Division 2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mohun Bagan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mohun Bagan
6%
Draws
4%
Tollygunge Agragami
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mohun Bagan lately — more wins on the board than Tollygunge Agragami.
  • Model gives Mohun Bagan a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 68%
Tollygunge Agragami Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Tollygunge Agragami
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 19 3
Draws 11 3
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2024 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan vs Tollygunge Agragami
5:1
May 5, 2005 I-League
Tollygunge Agragami vs Mohun Bagan
0:4
Mar 6, 2005 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Tollygunge Agragami
2:1
Mar 16, 2004 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Tollygunge Agragami
0:1
Dec 10, 2003 I-League
Tollygunge Agragami vs Mohun Bagan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Bhat S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Adnan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tollygunge Agragami Compare

Top Goalscorer Hossain S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 95 / 100
Tollygunge Agragami 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Tollygunge Agragami

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mohun Bagan scored in 81% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Tollygunge Agragami conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Mohun Bagan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tollygunge Agragami lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
21 May
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
SC Delhi
17 May
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
East Bengal
12 May
Mohun Bagan
0 : 0
Inter Kashi
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan
19 Apr
North East United
0 : 1
Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 8

Tollygunge Agragami

(Away)
14 Sept
Army Red
3 : 0
Tollygunge Agragami
14 Sept
Kalighat Milan Sangha
3 : 0
Tollygunge Agragami
14 Sept
Wari
3 : 0
Tollygunge Agragami
14 Sept
Police AC
3 : 0
Tollygunge Agragami
14 Sept
Eastern Railway
3 : 0
Tollygunge Agragami
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diamond Harbour12102032:732
2Suruchi Sangha1273219:924
3Mohammedan1254324:1419
4Kidderpore SC1254316:1519
5United SC1253415:1118
6BSS Sporting1236312:1615
7Southern Samity1242616:1514
8Patha Chakra1242614:1614
9Aryan1233615:1512
10Measures Club1233614:2312
11Wari1233615:2912
12Kalighat Milan Sangha122556:1211
13Army Red1224612:2810
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division 2024 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal12111035:434
2Bhawanipore12101135:431
3Calcutta Customs1273222:1324
4Peerless1261520:1419
5Kalighat SL1261521:1719
6Calcutta Police1253413:1218
7Mohun Bagan1244428:1516
8George Telegrapher1250712:2015
9Rainbow SC1227315:1713
10Railway FC1231811:2910
11Eastern Railway122285:288
12Police AC121478:257
13Tollygunge Agragami1212913:405
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division 2024 (Relegation Group)