Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moi Kompong Dewa vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey

Cambodia Cambodia

CPL Old Stadium, Phnom Penh
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
San B.
Assist: Chan S.
20' Event
San K.
Assist: Patrick Nonato
28' Event
Patrick Nonato
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The CPL game between Moi Kompong Dewa and Kirivong Sok Sen Chey finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moi Kompong Dewa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Moi Kompong Dewa
6%
Draws
4%
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Moi Kompong Dewa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moi Kompong Dewa come out ahead of Kirivong Sok Sen Chey on wins alone.
  • Moi Kompong Dewa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular CPL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Moi Kompong Dewa Clean Sheet 15%
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moi Kompong Dewa Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 22, 2025 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
5:3
Aug 16, 2025 CPL
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey vs Moi Kompong Dewa
2:4
Apr 20, 2025 CPL
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey vs Moi Kompong Dewa
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
2:4
Jan 26, 2025 CPL
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey vs Moi Kompong Dewa
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moi Kompong Dewa Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick Nonato
2 Goals
Assists Leader San B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kirivong Sok Sen Chey Compare

Top Goalscorer Huy S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Azike E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moi Kompong Dewa 84 / 100
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moi Kompong Dewa Kirivong Sok Sen Chey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MKD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kirivong Sok Sen Chey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Moi Kompong Dewa found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Kirivong Sok Sen Chey's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Moi Kompong Dewa VS Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Moi Kompong Dewa

(Home)
17 May
Boeung Ket
4 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
10 May
Moi Kompong Dewa
1 : 2
Angkor Tiger
03 May
NagaWorld
1 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
25 Apr
Moi Kompong Dewa
1 : 0
Phnom Penh Crown
12 Apr
Moi Kompong Dewa
2 : 3
Svay Rieng
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Kirivong Sok Sen Chey

(Away)
16 May
Visakha
3 : 0
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
09 May
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
0 : 1
Life FC
26 Apr
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
1 : 1
Dangkor Senchey
11 Apr
Tiffy Army
3 : 1
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
05 Apr
Life FC
0 : 1
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Svay Rieng20161363:2249
2Phnom Penh Crown20144243:2346
3Angkor Tiger20113652:2936
4NagaWorld20105533:2035
5Boeung Ket2095626:1732
6Moi Kompong Dewa2087528:2531
7Visakha2078536:2829
8Tiffy Army20451120:5117
9Kirivong Sok Sen Chey20421422:4414
10Life FC20311617:4810
11Dangkor Senchey20231518:519
Promotion - CPL (Championship Group)
Relegation - CPL (Relegation Group)