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Stadium Background

Moi Kompong Dewa vs NagaWorld

Cambodia Cambodia

CPL 2025/2026 Old Stadium, Phnom Penh
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ky R. In: Choeun N.
Out: Ky R.
46'
Sub
Sri P. In: San K.
Out: Sri P.
51'
Mateus Barbosa

AI Match Summary

NagaWorld in this CPL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored NagaWorld.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Moi Kompong Dewa
20%
Draws
51%
NagaWorld
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NagaWorld

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • NagaWorld have won more games recently than Moi Kompong Dewa.
  • Win probability leans Moi Kompong Dewa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular CPL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Moi Kompong Dewa Clean Sheet 15%
NagaWorld Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moi Kompong Dewa NagaWorld
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 CPL
NagaWorld vs Moi Kompong Dewa
1:3
Mar 15, 2026 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs NagaWorld
0:2
Jan 3, 2026 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs NagaWorld
0:3
Sep 13, 2025 CPL
NagaWorld vs Moi Kompong Dewa
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs NagaWorld
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moi Kompong Dewa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

NagaWorld Compare

Top Goalscorer China
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paula L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moi Kompong Dewa 57 / 100
NagaWorld 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moi Kompong Dewa NagaWorld

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moi Kompong Dewa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moi Kompong Dewa scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

NagaWorld's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Moi Kompong Dewa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moi Kompong Dewa VS NagaWorld
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Moi Kompong Dewa

(Home)
13 Sept
Moi Kompong Dewa
0 : 2
Visakha
05 Sept
Angkor Tiger
0 : 0
Moi Kompong Dewa
17 May
Boeung Ket
4 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
10 May
Moi Kompong Dewa
1 : 2
Angkor Tiger
03 May
NagaWorld
1 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
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NagaWorld

(Away)
19 Sept
Tiffy Army
4 : 5
NagaWorld
13 Sept
NagaWorld
1 : 0
Life FC
05 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 2
NagaWorld
17 May
Angkor Tiger
4 : 1
NagaWorld
10 May
Phnom Penh Crown
3 : 0
NagaWorld
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svay Rieng 30 20 4 6 82:36 64
2 Phnom Penh Crown 30 17 5 8 53:36 56
3 Angkor Tiger 30 17 5 8 71:41 56
4 Boeung Ket 30 15 8 7 44:29 53
5 NagaWorld 30 12 7 11 42:39 43
6 Moi Kompong Dewa 30 11 8 11 43:45 41
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
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