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Moi Kompong Dewa vs Svay Rieng Prediction & H2H Stats

Cambodia Cambodia

CPL 2025/2026 Old Stadium, Phnom Penh
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
San B.
Own Goal
14' Event
Sareth K.
Assist: Ogawa Y.
22' Event
Sareth K.
Assist: Ogawa Y.

AI Match Summary

The CPL 2025/2026 game between Moi Kompong Dewa and Svay Rieng finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svay Rieng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Moi Kompong Dewa
20%
Draws
57%
Svay Rieng
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Svay Rieng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Svay Rieng carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Svay Rieng are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular CPL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Svay Rieng here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Moi Kompong Dewa Clean Sheet 10%
Svay Rieng Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moi Kompong Dewa Svay Rieng
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 11 22
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.23 2.46
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Svay Rieng
2:3
Feb 28, 2026 CPL
Svay Rieng vs Moi Kompong Dewa
2:0
Feb 15, 2026 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Svay Rieng
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 CPL
Svay Rieng vs Moi Kompong Dewa
2:2
Feb 15, 2025 CPL
Svay Rieng vs Moi Kompong Dewa
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moi Kompong Dewa Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick Nonato
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keo O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Svay Rieng Compare

Top Goalscorer Sareth K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moi Kompong Dewa 22 / 100
Svay Rieng 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moi Kompong Dewa Svay Rieng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svay Rieng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Moi Kompong Dewa scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Svay Rieng has conceded goals in 78% of their last 37 outings.

Moi Kompong Dewa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moi Kompong Dewa VS Svay Rieng
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
83% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Moi Kompong Dewa

(Home)
20 Sept
Moi Kompong Dewa
2 : 0
Life FC
13 Sept
Moi Kompong Dewa
0 : 2
Visakha
05 Sept
Angkor Tiger
0 : 0
Moi Kompong Dewa
17 May
Boeung Ket
4 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
10 May
Moi Kompong Dewa
1 : 2
Angkor Tiger
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Svay Rieng

(Away)
20 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
1 : 1
Svay Rieng
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0
Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Svay Rieng
4 : 0
Tiffy Army
06 Sept
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
0 : 3
Svay Rieng
30 Aug
Svay Rieng
2 : 1
Visakha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svay Rieng 30 20 4 6 82:36 64
2 Phnom Penh Crown 30 17 5 8 53:36 56
3 Angkor Tiger 30 17 5 8 71:41 56
4 Boeung Ket 30 15 8 7 44:29 53
5 NagaWorld 30 12 7 11 42:39 43
6 Moi Kompong Dewa 30 11 8 11 43:45 41
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