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Moi Kompong Dewa vs Svay Rieng

Cambodia Cambodia

CPL 2025/2026 Old Stadium, Phnom Penh
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Shields C.
Assist: Soeuy V.
25' Event
San B.
Assist: Voeun V.
38'
Soeuy V.

AI Match Summary

Svay Rieng in this CPL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Svay Rieng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Moi Kompong Dewa
20%
Draws
57%
Svay Rieng
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Svay Rieng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Moi Kompong Dewa haven't matched Svay Rieng's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Svay Rieng's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular CPL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Svay Rieng have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Moi Kompong Dewa Clean Sheet 11%
Svay Rieng Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moi Kompong Dewa Svay Rieng
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 19
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.23 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.03 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Svay Rieng
2:3
Feb 28, 2026 CPL
Svay Rieng vs Moi Kompong Dewa
2:0
Feb 15, 2026 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Svay Rieng
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 CPL
Svay Rieng vs Moi Kompong Dewa
2:2
Feb 15, 2025 CPL
Svay Rieng vs Moi Kompong Dewa
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moi Kompong Dewa Compare

Top Goalscorer San B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.56
Avg xA / game 1.01

Svay Rieng Compare

Top Goalscorer Shields C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Odawara T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moi Kompong Dewa 18 / 100
Svay Rieng 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moi Kompong Dewa Svay Rieng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svay Rieng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Moi Kompong Dewa found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Svay Rieng's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Moi Kompong Dewa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moi Kompong Dewa VS Svay Rieng
1.43 Goals Scored 2.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 2.63
71% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Moi Kompong Dewa

(Home)
20 Sept
Moi Kompong Dewa
2 : 0
Life FC
13 Sept
Moi Kompong Dewa
0 : 2
Visakha
05 Sept
Angkor Tiger
0 : 0
Moi Kompong Dewa
17 May
Boeung Ket
4 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
10 May
Moi Kompong Dewa
1 : 2
Angkor Tiger
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Svay Rieng

(Away)
20 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
1 : 1
Svay Rieng
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0
Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Svay Rieng
4 : 0
Tiffy Army
06 Sept
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
0 : 3
Svay Rieng
30 Aug
Svay Rieng
2 : 1
Visakha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svay Rieng 20 16 1 3 63:22 49
2 Phnom Penh Crown 20 14 4 2 43:23 46
3 Angkor Tiger 20 11 3 6 52:29 36
4 NagaWorld 20 10 5 5 33:20 35
5 Boeung Ket 20 9 5 6 26:17 32
6 Moi Kompong Dewa 20 8 7 5 28:25 31
7 Visakha 20 7 8 5 36:28 29
8 Tiffy Army 20 4 5 11 20:51 17
9 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 20 4 2 14 22:44 14
10 Life FC 20 3 1 16 17:48 10
11 Dangkor Senchey 20 2 3 15 18:51 9
Promotion - CPL 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - CPL 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)